二季度ICIS全球价格指数下跌15%

据ICIS网站7月3日伦敦报道 石油化工和聚合物价格面临越来越大的下行压力，因为终端使用市场放缓，石油价格下跌。

ICIS石化指数（IPEX）显示，上半年对于三个主要产区和消费区指数呈下降趋势的生产商来说是形势严峻。

随着汽车和纺织品等多种终端使用市场感受到压力，对许多石化产品和塑料的需求产生了压力。

6月东北亚乙烯价格下跌17%，这在很大程度上反映了对下游重要乙烯基中间体的需求不足。

正是需求方和原料成本推动了化学产品的价格。总体而言，这一趋势正在下降。

油价下跌将降低许多化工生产商的成本，有助于扩大价差，提高利润率，但如果需求进一步下降，下半年的产出令人担忧。

例如，它在德国化学工业减产中发挥了一定作用，德国贸易集团VCI周三报告称，上半年该行业产出下降2.5%。石化产品产量持平，聚合物产量下降7%。

如果将产量持平或下降与2019年上半年西欧IPEX下降13%的情况结合起来，前景并不乐观。

6月份各地区ICIS指数环比下降2%以上。

王磊 摘译自 ICIS

原文如下：

ICIS global price index down 15% in second quarter

Petrochemical and polymer prices have come under increasing downward pressure as end use markets slow and the oil price falls.

The ICIS Petrochemical Index (IPEX) shows how difficult the first half was for producers with the indexes for the three main producing and consuming regions trending downwards.

Demand for many petrochemicals and plastics has come under pressure as end-use markets as diverse as automobiles and textiles have felt the pinch.

A 17% fall in the northeast Asia ethylene price in June is worrying, reflecting in large part the lack of demand for important ethylene-based intermediates downstream

It is the demand side as much as the feedstock cost that is driving chemical prices. And overall, that trend is down.

 And a falling oil price will reduce costs for many chemical producers, help broaden spreads and lift margins. But if demand falls away further the second half outturn will not be good.

 It has played a part in reduced output from Germany’s chemical industry, for example. The Germany trade group, the VCI, 

align="justify">Combine flat or reduced output and a 13% fall in the northwest Europe IPEX in the first half of 2019 you do not have a pretty picture.

In June the ICIS indexes were down by more than 2% month align="justify">Looking back, the downturn in prices in November December last year was followed by a pressured January and February but there was some pick up in prices in March/April before the run downward again in June.