EIA上调今明两年布伦特原油价格预测

据钻机区网2019年11月14日休斯顿报道，美国能源信息署(EIA)最新发布的短期能源展望(STEO)报告显示，EIA在报告中上调了其对今明两年布伦特原油价格的预测。

EIA现在预计今年布伦特原油现货价格平均为每桶63.59美元，2020年平均为每桶60.10美元。EIA此前的STEO预测，布伦特原油现货价格在2019年平均为每桶63.37美元，在2020年平均为每桶59.93美元。

EIA在其最新发布的报告中表示，由于全球石油库存预计将不断增加，“尤其是在明年上半年”，因此，2020年原油平均价格预计将低于2019年。

EIA在9月份的报告中预测，布伦特原油现货价格在2019年平均为每桶63.39美元，2020年平均为每桶62美元。今年8月，EIA曾预计布伦特原油在2019年的平均价格为每桶65.15美元，2020年为每桶65美元。今年7月，EIA曾预测，布伦特原油2019年的平均价格为每桶66.51美元，2020年为每桶67美元。

本月早些时候，惠誉宏观研究(FSMR)透露，其最新的布伦特原油价格预测与之前的预测保持不变。

FSMR向钻机区网提交的报告显示，该公司分析师预计布伦特原油价格今年平均每桶64美元，2020年平均每桶62美元。该公司在9月份发给钻机区网的上一份油价展望报告中也做出了同样的预测。

今年8月，FSMR分析师预计今年布伦特原油价格平均为每桶67美元，2020年为每桶65美元。今年7月，FSMR分析师曾预测2019年布伦特原油的平均油价为每桶70美元，2020年为每桶76美元。

李峻 编译自 钻机区

原文如下：

EIA Raises Oil Price Forecast

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has raised its Brent oil price forecast, the organization’s latest short-term energy outlook (STEO) has revealed.

Brent spot prices are now expected to average $63.59 per barrel in 2019 and $60.10 per barrel in 2020. The EIA’s previous STEO forecasted that Brent spot prices would average $63.37 per barrel in 2019 and $59.93 per barrel in 2020.

In its latest STEO, the EIA said it expects crude oil prices will be lower align="justify">In its September STEO, the EIA forecasted that Brent spot prices would average $63.39 per barrel in 2019 and $62 per barrel in 2020. In August, the EIA projected that Brent would average $65.15 per barrel in 2019 and $65 per barrel in 2020. Back in July, the EIA forecasted that Brent would average $66.51 per barrel in 2019 and $67 per barrel in 2020.

Earlier this month, Fitch Solutions Macro Research (FSMR) revealed that its latest Brent crude price forecast remains unchanged from its previous projection.

An FSMR report sent to Rigzone outlined that analysts at the company expect Brent to average $64 per barrel this year and $62 per barrel in 2020. The same projections were made in the company’s previous oil price outlook, which was sent to Rigzone in September.

In August, FSMR analysts expected prices to average $67 per barrel this year and $65 per barrel in 2020. In July the analysts forecasted an average of $70 per barrel in 2019, and $76 per barrel in 2020.