明年中东地区石油市场不可小觑

据今日油价12月29日报道，即将结束的一年对中东来说是动荡的。尽管油价顽固地拒绝对推动油价上涨的努力做出反应，但仍处于一个紧张且不太理想的状态，多次袭击加剧了该地区的紧张局势。2020年会有所不同吗？

国际能源署本月早些时候表示，预计在新年初期的几个月中，全球石油供应将出现70万桶/日的过剩。然后，上周俄罗斯能源部长亚历山大·诺瓦克（Alexander Novak）表示，他希望欧佩克+（OPEC +）讨论放宽刚刚在三月份的一次会议上同意的更深层的生产上限。

虽然讨论并不意味着放宽，但仅仅在欧佩克+达成协议三个月后，逆转部分或全部额外削减的可能性就足以给油价增加压力。

在更大的石油价格压力下，沙特阿拉伯和科威特最终达成协议，重启两国之间在中立区的两个共享油田的作业。《国家报》援引Refinitiv分析师的话报道表示，这些油田的日产能为每天五十万桶。他还补充道，距离油价的影响尚需时日，但最终还是会有影响的。

郝芬 译自 今日油价

原文如下：

The align="justify">The year that is drawing to its close has been turbulent for the Middle East. While oil prices stubbornly refused to respond to efforts to push them higher, remaining locked in a tight and not particularly pleasant range, a number of attacks heightened tensions in the region . Will 2020 be any different?

For oil prices, hardly. The International Energy Agency said earlier this month it expected a 700,000 bpd overhang in global oil supply during the early months of the new year. Then last week Russia’s Energy Minister Alexander Novak said he expected OPEC+ to discuss relaxing the deeper production caps it just agreed to at a meeting in March.

While a discussion does not mean a relaxation, the very possibility of reversing some or all of the additional cuts just three months after OPEC+ agreed them is enough to add pressure to prices.

In more pressure for oil prices, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait finally reached an agreement for the restart of operations at two shared oil fields in the neutral zone between the two countries. The production capacity of the fields is half a million barrels daily, The National reported, quoting a Refinitiv analyst who also added that while it will be a while before the effect align="justify">