
据路透社1月11日消息称,国际能源署负责人周五对路透社表示,预计全球石油市场在2020年将供应充足,需求增长可能保持疲弱,从而抑制油价。
IEA执行董事Fatih Birol表示:“我们预计需求将以略高于每天100万桶的速度增长。”他补充说,与历史水平相比,需求增长可能仍然疲弱。
他表示,还有100万桶/天的潜在过剩,确保全球市场供应充足。
Birol 表示:“非欧佩克国家的石油产量非常强劲。我们仍然认为石油产量不仅来自美国,还将来自挪威、加拿大、圭亚那等国。”他指的是石油输出国组织(OPEC)以外的石油生产国。
“因此,我可以告诉你,在我看来,市场上的石油供应非常充足,因此,我们认为油价将保持在每桶65美元。”
目前布伦特原油期货价格突破每桶70美元。
曹海斌 摘译自 路透社
原文如下:
Ample supplies, weak global demand growth to cap oil prices in 2020 – IEA
The global oil market is expected to be well-supplied in 2020 and demand growth could stay weak, keeping a lid align="justify">“We are expecting a demand growth of slightly higher than 1 million barrels per day,” said the IEA’s executive director, Fatih Birol, adding that growth could remain weak, compared with historical levels.
There is also an implied surplus of 1 million bpd oil, ensuring that the global market is well supplied, he said.
“Non-OPEC production is very strong. We still expect production coming from, not just United States, but also Norway, Canada, Guyana, among other countries,” Birol said, referring to oil producers outside the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).
“Therefore, I can tell you that the markets are, in my view, very well supplied with oil, and as a result of that, we see prices remain at $65 a barrel.”
Brent crude futures topped $70 a barrel.
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