EIA预测美国明年石油产量增长将放缓至41万桶/天

据原油新闻2020年1月14日华盛顿报道，美国能源信息署（EIA）周二表示，由于在用钻机数仍然较低，但效率和井产能均将继续上升，美国今年石油产量增长将放缓至106万桶/天，并在2021年进一步放缓至41万桶/天。

EIA在其今年首份短期能源展望报告中预测，今年美国石油日产量平均为1330万桶，2021年为1371万桶。

与2018年惊人的日增164万桶相比，美国的石油产量出现稳步下降。

EIA预计美国1月份石油产量将首次突破1300万桶/天，并在2021年11月突破1400万桶/天。

EIA表示，高产量和不断下降的进口依赖将使美国今年首次成为石油净出口国，原油和成品油出口总量将比进口总量每日多出84万桶。今年美国石油净出口量将增至140万桶/天。

到2021年，美国原油净进口量预计将降至291万桶/天，而成品油净出口量将升至431万桶/天。

李峻 编译自 原油新闻

原文如下：

US oil output growth to slow to 410,000 b/d by 2021: EIA

US oil production growth will slow to 1.06 million b/d this year and drop further to 410,000 b/d in 2021 as rig counts remain low, but efficiency and well-level productivity both continue to rise, the US Energy Information Administration said Tuesday.

EIA estimates US oil production averaging 13.3 million b/d in 2020 and 13.71 million b/d in 2021, it said in its first Short-Term Energy Outlook with 2021 predictions.

US production growth has dropped steadily from the staggering 1.64 million b/d year-on-year increase seen in 2018.

EIA expects US oil output to top 13 million b/d for the first time this month and cross 14 million b/d in November 2021.

High production and declining import reliance will make the US a net oil exporter for the first time align="justify">US net crude imports are expected to fall to 2.91 million b/d by 2021, while net refined product exports will rise to 4.31 million b/d.