路透社调查预测2024年油价将保持在65-70美元

据能源世界网1月16日伦敦报道，根据路透社（Reuters）对能源专业人士进行的最新年度调查显示，对油价的长期预期仍然坚定地锚定在每桶65-70美元左右。

预计在不确定的将来，美国页岩气和石油输出国组织以外的其他来源的大量供应将使价格保持在近期范围内。十年前常见的对石油供应高峰的担忧已经消失； 现在有迹象表明，对石油需求峰值的预期正在持续。

根据中位数，预计未来五年布伦特原油的平均价格为每桶65美元，根据中值，预计今年布伦特原油价格为67美元，到2024年将略升至69美元。大多数预测者预计，未来五年内，均价将保持在每桶60美元至75美元之间，只有极少数人预计价格将低于50美元或高于90美元。

郝芬 译自 能源世界网

原文如下：

Crude price expected to stay around $65-70 through 2024

Long-term expectations about oil prices remain firmly anchored around $65-70 per barrel, according to the latest annual survey of energy professionals conducted by Reuters.

Plentiful supplies from US shale plays and other sources outside the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries are expected to keep prices close to their recent range for the indefinite future. Fears about peaking oil supplies, common ten years ago, have disappeared; now there are some indications that expectations about peaking oil demand are taking hold.

Brent is forecast to average $65 per barrel in each of the next five years based align="justify">