
据ICIS网站3月30日消息 美国上市化工公司的股票周一涨跌互现,油价跌至18年来的低点。
5月份布伦特原油期货结算价为22.76美元/桶,下跌2.17美元/桶。WTI结算价为20.09美元/桶,下跌1.42美元/桶。
一个多月来,股市一直异常动荡。从2月24日开始,道琼斯工业平均指数在过去26个交易日中的21个交易日至少波动了2%。
疫情在美国和全球其他地区继续传播,产生较大影响。
疫情是油价下跌的原因之一,限制疾病传播的旅行限制导致了燃料需求的下降。
由于需求下降,美国炼油商PBF能源公司正在以最低费率运营其装置。
另一个拖累油价的因素是欧佩克和俄罗斯之间减产协议的结束。从4月1日开始,他们将不限制石油生产。
道琼斯首席执行官吉姆菲特林表示,在如此低的油价下,企业无法取代石油,55-60美元/桶的价格更具可持续性。
供应的增加和需求的下降共同导致人们担心全球石油储备将耗尽,迫使高成本的油井关闭。
ICIS石化指数(IPEX)显示,石化和聚合物价格倾向于跟随原油走势,时滞约为6周。该指数跟踪了12种主要的石油化工产品和聚合物。
ICIS利润率分析显示,在北美,乙烯现货价格仍处于34年来的低点。3月份丙烯合约创11年新低。
在欧洲,尽管油价下跌,化工股和股市仍上涨。
王磊 摘译自 ICIS
原文如下:
US chem shares mixed as oil prices reach 18-year lows
Shares of US-listed chemical companies were mixed align="justify">Brent crude oil futures for May settled at $22.76/bbl, down by $2.17/bbl. WTI settled at $20.09/bbl, down by $1.42/bbl.
Stock markets have been exceptionally volatile for more than a month. Starting align="justify">The coronavirus (Covid-19) has caused much of this volatility as it continues to spread in the US and the rest of the world.
The coronavirus is align="justify">US refiner PBF Energy is running its units a minimum rates because of the decline in demand.
Another factor dragging down oil prices is the end of a production-cut agreement between OPEC and Russia. Starting align="justify">At such low prices, companies cannot replace oil, said Dow CEO Jim Fitterling. A price of $55-60/bbl is more sustainable.
The combination of rising supply and falling demand has led to concerns that the world would run out of storage, forcing high-cost wells to shut-in.
Petrochemical and polymer prices tend to follow crude oil with a time lag of about six weeks, according to the ICIS Petrochemical Index (IPEX). The index tracks 12 major petrochemicals and polymers.
In North America, ethylene spot prices remain at 34-year lows, according to the ICIS margins analysis. March contracts for propylene settled at an 11-year low.
In Europe, chemical stocks and bourses rose despite the drop in oil prices.
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