石油价格战可能持续到年底

据CNBC网站4月1日报道，阿联酋航空NBD分析师爱德华·贝尔（Edward Bell）表示，如果没有外交上的突破，沙特与俄罗斯的油价之战可能会持续到2020年底。

由于欧佩克未能达成协议，导致沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯在全球疫情危机中陷入价格战，自年初以来油价暴跌逾60%。

周三晚间，亚洲布伦特原油期货价格下跌5.01％，至25.03 美元。美国原油期货价格下跌1.03％，至20.27美元。

贝尔对CNBC的“资本连接”节目称，提高产量可以帮助沙特阿拉伯在油价低迷的情况下维持其石油收入。如果非欧佩克成员国俄罗斯或欧佩克成员国决定呼吁某种形式的减产，石油市场可能会恢复过去几年的表现。

他补充道，如果沙特想要开拓自己作为全球主要石油供应国的地位，这将对边际生产商带来“巨大的痛苦”。“它将不得不试图将其尽可能永久地挤出石油市场。”

冯娟 摘译自 CNBC

原文如下：

The oil price war could persist until year-end

Without a diplomatic breakthrough, the Saudi Arabia-Russia oil price war could continue until the end of 2020, according to analyst Edward Bell of Emirates NBD.

Prices have plummeted more than 60% since the beginning of year after OPEC+ failed to reach an agreement, leading Saudi Arabia and Russia to enter a price war amid the global coronavirus crisis.

Brent crude fell 5.01% to $25.03>Higher production levels can help Saudi Arabia maintain its oil revenues while prices are low, Bell told CNBC’s “Capital Connection.”If Russia, a non-OPEC member, or countries in the cartel decide to call for some kind of production restraint, the oil market could go back to behaving the way it has for the past few years.

If the kingdom wants to carve out its place as the global dominant oil supplier, it’s going to mean “a lot of pain” for marginal producers, he added. “It’s going to have to try and squeeze them out of the oil market as permanently as it can.”