EIA上调2020年平均油价预期

据道琼斯5月13日消息，美国能源情报署（EIA）在其月度短期能源展望报告中表示，今年美国原油日产量可能平均为1170万桶，去年这个数字为1220万桶，而在其一个月前的报告中，该机构预测2020年美国原油日产量预测为1180万桶。EIA还预计，西德克萨斯中质（WTI）原油今年的平均价格为30美元/桶，而一个月前的预测为29美元/桶，2019年的平均价格为57美元/桶。预测的变化表明，尽管油价在一个月里大幅下跌，甚至曾经跌至负值，但EIA也注意到大量的停产，过去两周的价格反弹表明，在疫情导致的需求大幅下降之后，市场正在再平衡过程中。

张春晓 摘译自 道琼斯

原文如下：

EIA Lifts Projection for Average 2020 Oil Price

The EIA says in its monthly Short Term Energy Outlook US crude oil production could average 11.7M bpd this year vs 12.2 last year and versus a 2020 projection of 11.8M bpd in its month-ago report. EIA also sees WTI oil prices averaging $30/bbl this year versus a projection of $29 a month ago and versus 2019's average $57. The forecast changes suggest that despite a wild month that saw oil prices turn negative, EIA also took note of significant production shut-ins, and a price-rebound over the past two weeks that suggest a rebalancing is underway following a huge, coronavirus-driver drop in demand.