全球石油需求未来两年不太可能恢复至去年水平

据道琼斯5月23日消息，Energy Aspects公司表示，全球石油需求在2022年底之前不会达到新型冠状病毒爆发前的水平。该咨询公司预测，今年全球石油日均消费量将下降710万桶降至9310万桶。Energy Aspects的数据显示，2021年石油需求将增加500万桶/天，至9810万桶/天，仍低于2019年1.002亿桶/天的水平。这种缓慢复苏的结果是:原油价格很可能在一段时间内继续承压，处于温和的期货溢价状态。期货溢价指的是现货价格低于期货价格的一种情况，这种情况会促使交易员将石油储存起来。

张春晓 摘译自 道琼斯

原文如下：

Oil Demand Unlikely to Reach Pre-Coronavirus Levels Before Late 2022

Global oil demand won't reach pre-coronavirus levels before the end of 2022, according to Energy Aspects. Average daily consumption will drop by 7.1 million barrels to 93.1 million barrels this year, the consultancy forecasts. Demand will rise by 5 million barrels a day to 98.1 million barrels a day in 2021, according to Energy Aspects, still below the 2019 level of 100.2 million barrels a day. The result of this slow recovery: crude prices are likely to remain under pressure, and in mild contango, for some time. Contango refers to a condition when spot prices are below futures prices, which incentivizes traders to keep oil in storage.